limitlesscasinonodepositbonus2022|积极变化！“五一”二手房交易量大增近三成

Under the influence of the recent intensive relaxation of property market policies in key cities, there have been positive changes in property market transactions during the May Day period.

Among them, the number of visits to new housing projects in some cities has increased compared with before, but the overall volume of new housing transactions is still low. On the other hand, the transaction volume of second-hand housing has increased by nearly 30% compared with the same period in 2023.

It is worth noting that following the deregulation of Beijing on April 30thLimitlesscasinonodepositbonus2022After implementing the 13-year purchase restriction policy, Shenzhen also relaxed the purchase restriction policy on May 6, reducing the eligibility for outsiders to buy houses in specific areas from three years of social security to one year, and families with many children registered in Shenzhen can buy one more house in a specific area.

Industry insiders expect that more core cities will optimize restrictive policies in the future. With the continuous implementation of the policy, the new housing market in the middle of the year is expected to usher in a marginal improvement, and the second-hand housing market will maintain a certain degree of activity in the short term under the "price for volume".

The average daily transaction volume of second-hand housing increased by 29% compared with the same period last year.

Encouraged by the policy adjustment, the transaction volume of second-hand housing market during the May Day holiday this year increased significantly compared with the same period last year.

Data from the Shell Research Institute show that during the May Day holiday in 2024, the average daily transaction volume of second-hand housing in key 50 cities increased by 29% compared with the same period in 2023. Among them, the average daily turnover of second-hand houses in Beijing increased by 43% compared with the same period last year, while Chengdu and Tianjin increased by 28% and 19% respectively.

Liu Lijie, a market analyst at the Shell Research Institute, pointed out that before the holidays, key cities such as Beijing, Chengdu, and Tianjin abolished housing purchase restrictions globally or regionally, and the optimization of purchase restrictions helped to promote the release of capable and willing housing demand, which in turn led to the growth of housing transactions.

Take Beijing as an example. Judging from the transaction of the tripartite agreement of Beijing Lianjia, the turnover of the May Day holiday in 2024 has increased by nearly 40% compared with that of the May Day holiday in 2023. There is also a similar increase in the data, indicating that the overall trading activity of the market has increased and the market vitality has increased. Among them, the second-hand housing outside the Fifth Ring Road sold by Lianjia in Beijing accounts for 40% of the city's total.Limitlesscasinonodepositbonus2022.3%, compared with 33.9% in the same period last year and an average of 35.8% in April this year, the proportion of transactions outside the Fifth Ring Road has increased significantly.

As for the reasons for the increased vitality of Beijing's "May Day" second-hand housing market, Gao Gao, director of the Lianjia Research Institute in Beijing, said that on the one hand, Beijing adjusted the purchase restriction policy on April 30, which stimulated the purchase demand of some improved customers, and the number of customer inquiries increased significantly. On the other hand, around May Day in 2023, Beijing encountered sand and dust weather many times, which reduced the enthusiasm of customers to go out to look at houses. During the May Day period this year, the weather in Beijing remained fine, which was objectively conducive to the viewing activities of property buyers.

Liu Lijie said that so far, most cities have abolished or regionally lifted purchase restrictions, injecting housing demand into the market, and opening up the transaction chain of new and second-hand housing through policies such as exchanging old for new ones. It is expected that in a certain period of time in the future, the policy effect will continue to be released, which will play a positive role in stabilizing and repairing the volume and price of market transactions.

The average daily transaction volume of new houses is still low.

From the perspective of new housing, during the May Day holiday, the number of visitors to new housing projects increased in some cities driven by policy optimization and project promotion.

According to the statistics of the China finger Research Institute, during the May Day holiday this year, the average daily sales area of new houses in 22 representative cities has dropped by more than 40% compared with the same period in 2023, returning to about 70% of the 2019 holiday level. It is worth noting that last year's May Day holiday included the last two days of April (4.29mur4.30), and the number of project signings at the end of the month was relatively high. if you take this factor out, compared with the average daily turnover of 22 new houses in the city this year (5.1Mue 5.5) and last year's May Day holiday, the average daily sales area decreased slightly by 6%.

Cao Jingjing, general manager of the Index Research Department of the China Index Research Institute, pointed out that in the past two years, during the short holidays, the overall performance of the real estate market has been relatively lacklustre under the high enthusiasm of residents and the pressure of industry adjustment. Judging from the performance of the property market during the May Day holiday this year, on the supply side, the pace of evidence collection by housing enterprises before the festival has been slightly speeded up. During the holiday period, some urban housing enterprises have grasped the policy optimization window to launch new markets and increase sales promotion efforts. In terms of transactions, during the May Day holiday, the number of visits to new housing projects increased in some cities driven by policy optimization and project promotion.

From the perspective of key cities, according to the statistics of the Institute of the Middle Index, during the May Day holiday this year, the number of visits to some high-quality projects in Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Nanjing, Jinan and other places increased significantly, but the wait-and-see mood remained, among which, the average daily transaction area of Beijing and Jinan during the May 1 holiday increased compared with last year's holiday, and both were higher than the 2019 holiday level. However, the performance of the property market in most third-and fourth-tier cities is mediocre, and the market turnover has generally declined compared with the May Day holiday data in recent years.

For example, Shanghai launched commercial housing "trade-in" activities during the May Day holiday, but affected by travel and supply, the market is not very hot. During the holiday period, only two new housing projects are in the subscription period, and most projects have not yet been subscribed. Some hot projects have a certain number of visitors during the holidays. Chengdu completely abolished the seven-and-a-half-year purchase restriction policy on April 28, which stimulated the supply side obviously. during the holiday period, most projects launched promotional activities, and the number of visits from the sales department of some improvement projects in some areas increased by 30% and 40%. The second-hand housing market has seen a significant increase in volume and transaction volume. During the holiday period, most projects will increase their concessions, especially when some of the old ones are squeezed by new products to speed up the exchange of prices for volume.

A new round of loose policies in the property market has landed intensively.

Recently, key cities have released a new round of policy easing signals, the property market policy "loosening" efforts to increase.

According to a reporter from the Securities Times, Beijing, Tianjin, Chengdu and other places optimized the purchase restrictions before the May Day holidays. among them, Chengdu completely lifted the purchase restrictions; Beijing lifted the purchase restrictions for the first time in 13 years; Nanjing, Wuxi, Zhongshan and other places introduced a new policy on the property market on May 1; Shanghai launched a commercial housing "trade-in" campaign on May 3. Shenzhen also optimized the housing purchase restriction policy on May 6, reducing the eligibility for outsiders to buy a house in a specific area from three years of social security to one year, and families with many children registered in Shenzhen can buy one more house in a specific area.

从当前市场整体情况来看，曹晶晶指出，4月，重点城市新建商品住宅周度销售面积缓慢上升，同比降幅有所收窄，但绝对规模仍处于近几年周度较低水平。二手房方面，4月最后一周，重点城市二手房成交套数环比增长13.1%，同比增长11.0%，重点城市二手房整体成交表现仍好于新房。

展望未来，曹晶晶认为，4月30日中央政治局会议定调楼市，房地产供需两端政策有望持续优化。近期多个城市优化楼市政策，进一步释放利好，预计后续更多核心城市将优化限制性政策，一线城市或针对不同人群、不同区域、不同面积段优化限购政策，二线城市或全面取消限购政策；除此之外，在降低首付比例、降低房贷利率、降低交易税费等方面亦有较大空间。

市场方面，曹晶晶认为，当前新房市场调整压力仍在，但随着宏观政策继续协同发力、房地产政策不断落实，年中新房市场有望迎来边际改善。二手房市场短期预计在“以价换量”下，将维持一定活跃度，而当前多个城市开展“以旧换新”活动，有利于进一步打通新房和二手房交易链条，也有望对新房市场产生积极影响。

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