evolutionlightningroulette| Soda ash futures: After the high of 2500 yuan is expected to rise, profits return to short time

Date: 4个月前 (05-18)View: 46Comments: 0

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evolutionlightningroulette| Soda ash futures: After the high of 2500 yuan is expected to rise, profits return to short time

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[Expectations to rise in soda ash market highs boost] Market observers predict that soda ash market is expected to riseevolutionlightningroulette, the future high point can reach 2500 yuan. In response to this, profits after rushing high showed a downward trend, and investors were considering short-term shorting. At the current stage, the supply and demand relationship of soda ash shows that supply is slightly higher than demand. Short-selling forces are trying to replicate the trend of a specific period in the past, and soda ash prices need to be close to the cost line. Despite the divergence of the inventory structure, the overall inventory pressure was not significant, and there were also maintenance expectations. The bulls launched profit repair when the profit approached 300 yuan at the end of March. Analysis shows that the profit repair action of bulls seems more reasonable, while the behavior of bears trying to break through the cost line seems relatively extreme. The main driving force for the rise of the soda ash market relies heavily on upstream concentration and higher bargaining power. Currently, within the reasonable range of historical profits, profit repair has not yet reached the top. The previously forecast market volatility range for the whole year was 1650 to 2100 yuan. Taking into account the reality of oversupply, we expect that the maximum value may be lower than the top of profits, which is slightly pessimistic. However, based on the influence of market sentiment and funds, the latest observation believes that the high point can rise to at least 2350 yuan, and the corresponding market value can be expected to exceed 2400 yuan, that is, the integer level of 2500 yuan will become the expected target. Despite this, the instability of soda ash supply and the strong upstream pricing power have led the market to remain cautious about prices. On the premise of good profits, investors are advised to adopt a light position strategy to operate.

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